Friday, March 06, 2020

Real Fatality Rate

update
Pat Herrick said her mother, Elaine, was a resident at Life Care but died on Wednesday at 3:30 a.m. 

She explained a staff member called her early in the morning to say her mother had died, and then a different staff member called her at 10 a.m. to say her mother was doing fine. Herrick said she had to correct the employee that her mother had already passed away.
Herrick said her mother was not exhibiting symptoms of coronavirus and was told she died from natural causes but is fighting to get her mother's body tested for the virus.

“This is so tragic. I am so sorry for everybody involved, and I am so sorry for us as a country,” said Her...

There is more to this story. It goes like this. The daughter became irritated with the confusion going on with her mother. The facility told her that her mother death was not related to coronavirus. But then the facility was full of coronavirus cases. The mother wanted a determination on what cause her mother's death. She asked the facility to test her mother's body for coronavirus. The center came back that we can't do the test on a assortment of red tape issues. She said a dead person doesn't meet the criteria for getting tested for coronavirus and nobody will pick up the cost for the testing.

There just is a lot of incentives and disincentives for a body not to get tested for coronavirus. Some flaws in the system and some intentional. We should have begun testing for coronavirus weeks ago on all deceased people in the USA. A least a targeted area suspected with having an outbreak. There you could have gotten a picture with all bodies infected with coronavirus not included in the offical virus numbers. 

***I don't buy it we can't get a fatality rate. You would need a 50 to 100 population of people in a local area. It would have to be in a representative area of our society. Once you get to say a hundred people infected, you closely monitor the medical condition of these people  for reasonable amount of time. Then you count all the dead by medical detectives. It could come in numerous smaller group numbers and or chose a random group throughout the USA. It would have to be a represented sample of people.

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