Coronavirus Could kill 81,000 in U.S.
I feel US Containment is really weak. We as a nation love print millions of useless words and see ourselves on TV. I think our current containment at best might turn our infection curve, but it will settle at a lower level. The lower level will still massively overwhelm hospitals and it will lengthen the time it puts unconstrained pressure on the system. It will lengthen the economic startup.
Coronavirus could kill 81,000 in U.S., subside in June -Washington University analysis
by Reuters
Friday, 27 March 2020 00:00 GMT
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By Carl O'Donnell
March 26 (Reuters) - The coronavirus pandemic could kill more than 81,000 people in the United States in the next four months and may not subside until June, according to a data analysis done by University of Washington School of Medicine.
The number of hospitalized patients is expected to peak nationally by the second week of April, though the peak may come later in some states. Some people could continue to die of the virus as late as July, although deaths should be below epidemic levels of 10 per day by June at the latest, according to the analysis.
The analysis, using data from governments, hospitals and other sources, predicts that the number of U.S. deaths could vary widely, ranging from as low as around 38,000 to as high as around 162,000.
The variance is due in part to disparate rates of the spread of the virus in different regions, which experts are still struggling to explain, said Dr. Christopher Murray, director of the Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation at the University of Washington, who led the study...
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