Flattening The Curve In NYC

Some epidemiological people think 2 to 5% of our population have become infected by Covid. Almost 20,000 people have died over covid so far in the USA. Most of the PhD's think the infection rate is way lower than 5%. Theoretically if everyone gets infected in the USA, we would have 20 times the death rate as we have today. That would give us a death total of 400,000.        

***In my old age, I have to see evidence and understand the coronavirus curve. I have a very limited group of people who I will believe at face value. I am still really skeptical even with them. I will trust what they say, but I will attempt to verify the information and I carefully consider their history. But I won't attack them with criticism to their face, intensely probe with what they say is true. You know, I got to live with somebody and maintain human relationships.   

Based on the gov of New York, I now believe there is a curve for the coronavirus. It is really good news for the  USA. I see the curve flattening. The rate of increase is slowing down. This says nothing about when we will reach the apex, how will the decline of infections look like in the future.

This says nothing about when we can go back to work. At what national or local infection level can we go back to work. We will just have to carefully watch how the decline in infection plays out until more information becomes available. 

There is a kind of satisfaction in me now that we can at least trust some US gov officials.        

World Health Organization Chief Has Got To Go

Well, this guy must have faced racial slurs all his life, as all blacks and minorities face on a daily bases. Why did he do this at this time? Did Trump get into his head with his recent criticism with this organization? Is this a coping mechanism of the chief or is he trying divert attention with the Trump criticism. Basically, hate to stay it, but I agree with Trump on this. A guy in this position has to have a thick skin a mile wide. This response to this insignificant racial slur is a diversion from his agency fighting this world wide pandemic. Could you blame this guy if he feels so overwhelmed by the Pandemic, he is starting to break?  

The W.H.O.’s chief says he was the target of racist slurs in Taiwan.

The director-general of the World Health Organization, Dr. Tedros Adhanom Ghebreyesus, said on Wednesday that he had been targeted by racist comments and death threats that originated in Taiwan, in the past three months, including being called “a Negro.”

Dr. Tedros singled out the Taiwanese government, which has been frozen out of the W.H.O. after pressure from Beijing.

“They didn’t disassociate themselves,” he said of Taiwanese officials. “They even started criticizing me in the middle of all that insult and slur, but I didn’t care.”...

What About Coronavirus In Our US Navy

April 9

Coronavirus took out two modern aircraft carriers.

THE MILITARY'S second-highest ranking officer on Thursday warned of a new coronavirus outbreak aboard the USS Nimitz, an aircraft carrier about to embark on a deployment to the Pacific as the military struggles to contain the spread of the virus that has already sidelined crewmembers from another carrier.
"There's been a very small number of breakouts on the Nimitz, and we're watching that very closely," Air Force Gen. John Hyten, vice chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff, told reporters at the Pentagon on Thursday about the 5,000-member crews. He said that those sailors have "been isolated on the ship."Reposted from 2/26.

Update April 6

This guy must have played out how it would go in his head, giving the letter to his boss. Decided the chain of command wouldn't work. He must of known other chain of commands were facing the same issues and Washington non responsive. He should have sent the letter up his chain of command, if the response was insufficient, then go to the Washington Post. I wonder if he faced a soft mutiny, sailors just leaving the ship. Maybe the way he did this was to protect the Navy from a mutiny which would have broad ramifications.  

Navy’s top admiral says miscommunication led to release of bombshell letter from carrier’s skipper

Hundreds of sailors aboard the carrier Theodore Roosevelt applauded as their commanding officer left the ship Thursday because Big Navy fired him.

“Captain Crozier! Captain Crozier!” the sailors chanted amid claps and cheers as their skipper walked along the gangway, leaving his ship of nealy 5,000 sailors.

“That’s how you send off one of the greatest captains you ever had,” one sailor said one of several cell phone videos posted online Thursday.

Capt. Brett Crozier, commanding officer of the sidelined aircraft carrier in port in Guam, was abruptly relieved of duty Thursday after copy of writing a letter describing the COVID-19 outbreak on the 4,800-person ship and pleaded for help from his senior officers.

Naples is the home of the sixth fleet.

The Sixth Fleet is a numbered fleet of the United States Navy operating as part of United States Naval Forces Europe. The Sixth Fleet is headquartered at Naval Support Activity Naples, Italy.[2] The officially stated mission of the Sixth Fleet in 2011 is that it "conducts the full range of Maritime Operations and Theater Security Cooperation missions, in concert with coalition, joint, interagency, and other parties, in order to advance security and stability in Europe and Africa." The current commander of the Sixth Fleet is Vice Admiral Lisa M. Franchetti.

 Italy got coronavirus really bad.

NN)A US Navy sailor stationed in Naples, Italy, has tested positive for coronavirus, marking the first positive case for a US servicemember stationed in Europe, according to a statement from US European Command and US Naval Forces Europe-Africa.

The servicemember, stationed at a naval support facility in Naples, tested positive Friday and is currently restricted to their residence, according to the statement, receiving medical and other support in accordance with the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention and Italian guidelines.

Authorities said health professionals from the US military are conducting what they call "a thorough contact investigation" to determine if any other personnel may have been exposed. They say depending on the results other precautionary measures may be taken.

The statement said personnel that the servicemember came in close contact with have already been notified and are in self-isolation at their residences.

Feb 28

*U.S. Pacific Fleet commander Adm. John C. “Lung” Aquilino has directed all vessels visiting nations in the 7th Fleet area of operations “to remain at sea for at least 14 days before pulling into another port in order to monitor sailors for any symptoms" of COVID-19, a new and deadly strain of the coronavirus.

Aquilino’s unclassified Wednesday order is part of a larger Navy effort to control the spread of a disease that emerged in China’s Wuhan City last year and now has been detected in 37 locations internationally, including cases in the United States.

On Tuesday, a U.S. soldier stationed in South Korea became the first service member to test positive for the virus but Navy officials insist no personnel in the sea service have shown signs of the disease.

***Can you even imagine when the coronavirus ignites infections in a Navy ship considering our recent cruise ship horror show. In capital ships like a aircraft carrier or cruisers.

I Don't Trust Any Coronavirus Model

They are all too compromised by agendas and no professional independent oversight.  The graphs are too easily compromised. They are more a fiction. 

Lets say a model is found to grossly inaccurate and severely misleads the public and our government. There is no enforcement and punishment if found to be inaccurate. If the afterwards, there is no consequences if it misleads the nation. What in the next pandemic would make the model makers more accurate. The damn news will report anything coming from a advanced degree or PhD. 

It is basically more empty news that fill the airwaves cheaply.      

My Brother's Family Got Coronavirus

Update

*Yea, my brother is talking about the meaning of life, god and spirituality. He has been traumatized by a simple virus.    

*Springfield Ma with their level of poverty and hopelessness, their post industrialization shattering of the dream...they are getting ready to get the shit kicked out of them. There only hope is the warming weather will tamp the virus level down.  

***There is four in the family. Two got it really bad, but no hospitalization. Two barely felt a thing. They all live in the same house. The two kids are in the mid 20's. You would think the parents would get the virus bad.   But my brother and the oldest son got it bad. The others got off easy. My brother lives in Springfield Ma. Seems the ignorants in Springfield are really in a frenzy in Springfield ...my brother's family are worried about being stigmatized.  

What Are The Implications With A Dire Nationwide Shortage Of Thermometers (human)

Update April 6

I feel like I am living a alternate reality. Am I dreaming... So the Keene hospital on their special covid line called me back this morning with a few more questions. I told her I feel better this morning and if anything more develops I give them a call back. She thought it was a good plan. I told her about not finding a thermometer anywhere. She said, "oh, the area has been out of thermometer fors a month now"...    

*Can you even imagine a scenario six months ago where we'd have a nationwide shortage of thermometers? Where do you supposed most thermometers are made? My guess China.  

***I have come down with some suspicious symptoms similar to carnivorous.  So I called the special coronavirus line at the Keene hospital. I have utterly minor symptoms. Basically the nice nurse said take two aspirin and call your doctor in the morning. She said I should be monitoring my temperature. By feel, nobody thinks I have any elevated temperature. I feel fine. So I traveled the local drug stores and supermarkets all around me looking for a thermometer. None to be found and they all say they have been out for weeks.

 

Special Rules For Nuclear Plants During the Coronavirus Era

The really is, the grid load is a lot less than normal with the broad national shutdown. We don't need any nukes running at this time because the grid load is so low. It seems some nuclear plants are coronavirus hot spots. A lot of new and emerging issues with the industry, like before we make coronavirus regulations and notifications are made...the NRC will allow some bad plants to operate in a atrocious manner with a lot people out of work. Then a report will get written up or the information will get disclosed to outsiders....that a bad utility is taking a reckless chance. Then the outsiders will be outraged at the NRC. 

Something new like this, they should be writing up detailed reports on on infections, test and anything about carnivorous that effects their plants. Everything associated with overtime. The top manages should be carefully reading everything even the most insignificant events and trends. This kind of "novel" report event would be invaluable for future events.

As always, a bad plants might not have enough employees for no other reason than to save a few pennies to boost profits before this pandemic. It takes a lot of time to train certain employees. So a bad plant might be down a lot employees before virus strikes, then safety really declines for each new sick employee.

NRC to Consider COVID-19 Exemptions for Nuclear Plant Work-Hour Controls

Alternative fatigue-management controls, for example, should ensure employees do not work more than 16 work-hours in any 24-hour period and not more than 86 work-hours in any 7-day period, excluding shift turnover; a minimum 10-hour break is provided between successive work periods; 12 hour shifts are limited to not more than 14 consecutive days; and a minimum of six days off are provided in any 30-day period.

The Nuclear Regulatory Commission (NRC) on March 28 told industry that it is prepared to grant requests from individual nuclear generators for exemptions from work-hour controls specified in its rules to help provide more flexibility to the sector as it grapples with workforce issues related to the COVID-19 public health emergency.

The objective of the exemptions from Title 10 of the Code of Federal Regulations (10 CFR 26.205(d)(1)-(7)) is to ensure that the “control of work hours and management of worker fatigue do not unduly limit licensee flexibility in using personnel resources to most effectively manage the impacts of the COVID-19 [public health emergency (PHE)] on maintaining the safe operation of these facilities,” NRC Director of Nuclear Reactor Regulation Ho Nieh wrote in letters sent to the Nuclear Energy Institute (NEI), Entergy Nuclear, and Florida Power and Light over the weekend.
Nieh wrote that the exemptions will apply narrowly—only to nuclear plants whose staffing levels are affected by the pandemic. Licensees must also show they can no longer meet the work-hour controls outlined in the rules, and they can institute site-specific administrative controls for pandemic fatigue-management for personnel as outlined in the rules....