Thursday, July 21, 2016

Junk NRC: Worst Case Flooding Beyond the Height of the Turbine Building at Fort Calhoun






























The NRC's Criscione Cornicles

Goggle Larry Criscione and flooding to know this guy.

He is NRC to go-to guy on flooding risk.

I doubt anyone outside the NRC would be able to catch this but me. Remember this picture of the plant flooding. This is probably-he talking about the maximum precipitation rate and a dam or cascading dam failure(s)accident. Here is our Fukushima: the flooding level would exceed the level of the Fort Calhoun turbine building elevation. The whole system has been keeping this secret. It is a cover-up.

BWR_My guess is the flooding would exceed the level of the torus in the reactor building. All cooling would be lost to the core like Fukushima very quickly. Offsite and onsite electrical power
PWR-Basically the core would overheat and water would be released out the pressurizer operated relief valves. It would flood into the rad waste building just like TMI and then end up in the river. We would eventually figure out a way to put water in the core, but the cooling water would go out the PORV valves, flooding the radwaster building and leaking into the river. It would be unstoppable for many months and years.   

would be lost. I image the flooding in the reactor building would continue to cool the torus somewhat. Core water would get discharged out the SRVs. The core water would empty and the fuel would melt and catch on fire. So only the upper level of the reactor building would be the available collection area of the explosive hydrogen. The problem is, the reactor building is electrically dead, what would ignite the hydrogen? I still give it a 90% probability of exploding.

This above is the typical BWR analysis. But this is a PWR. Would the PWR play out the same way?  

The meltdown would go on a lot longer than Fukushima's is my guess. If containment failed, where would the giant plume of radiation go? Certainly the melted core would burn through containment. We'd have to figure out a way to cool the core just like Fukushima. The reactor water would overflow the core, exit the reactor building with the flood water, and go down the Missouri river. It would be really high level contamination and radiation. This stuff wouldn't go to sea until New Orleans.

NRC's Lawrence Criscione:

“I realize that the fact that Fort Calhoun could be flooded to beyond the height of the turbine building is embarrassing to both the NRC and the USACE, but if you lived in Omaha would you not like to know this?”
The below is a picture of the Missouri and Mississippi Rivers. Can you imagine the contamination fears from just above Omaha to New Orleans? That is a 1000 miles of contaminated river in our heartland and mother river. Think about the towns and city drinking water withdrawals? All the business water withdrawals. Fort Calhoun radiation laden water would flow down the Missouri and Mississippi River onto New Orleans. The Cooper nuclear plant is about 50 miles down river from Fort Calhoun. Would they survive?

This would be a national catastrophe and flip us into a giant national emergency. Can you even imagine the worldwide news media. We'd overthrow our government. 

We would emediately shutdown all nuclear power plants for many years. What would the worldwide ramifications be? Twenty percent of electrical capacity would just disappear. The is a enormous amount of electricity. We wouldn't be able to replace this power for a decade. We couldn't quickly expand the other sources of electricity. The coal deliveries by railroad would overload the rail system. Same for natural gas with the pipelines and new pipelines. We would have exorbenent prices of electricity  and frequent blackouts for a decade. It would drive us into a deep depression for a decade.

We do more damage to the nation shutting off all out nuke plants than the core meltdown. Does our nuclear plant risk analysis take this into consideration? Believe me, there would be no rational thinking in Washington for a decade if there ever was rational thinking in Washington. How would our weak financial and Wall Street respond to the heartlands howling radiative winds?  It would be a stampede or serial cascade accident over many different systems.  

If the system is playing such dangerous games with worst case flooding at Fort Calhoun...you got to know the system must be riddled with similar dangerous games!!!  

My guess is the worldwide financial fallout would be 100 times to 1000 times to 10,000 times worst or more than Fukushima.

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