Sunday, February 09, 2020

Coronavirus: Spreads By Aerosol Spray

Is it possible the USA test were false positives? We never really had any infections in the USA yet. It is a brand new test and it is highly eradic. 

But the USA's coronavirus infection experience contradicted this. If it was aerosolized, we have a lot more infections. The only way this Chinese experience works, is if our officials based on national security reasons are telling the infected and medical staffs not to disclose their infection.   

*It can spread by aerosol spray and or remain on surface for up to five days, but to what extent???
Chinese Officials Warn of Aerosol Infection as Coronavirus Continues to Spread
By Eva Fu
February 8, 2020 Updated: February 9, 2020
 
Chinese health officials have identified aerosols as one of the transmission routes for the deadly novel coronavirus that has infected at least tens of thousands and stirred concern worldwide, according to a Shanghai press conference on Saturday.

Aerosol transmission occurs when one inhales very tiny droplets in the air containing the virus. Severe acute respiratory syndrome (SARS), measles, and H5N1 avian influenza are capable of spreading through aerosols, which can stay in the air for an extended period of time.

The other two major transmission routes for the virus include direct contact—breathing in larger droplets from an infected person who sneezes and coughs at close range—and contact transmission, meaning a person can be infected by touching objects contaminated with droplets carrying the virus, and then touching the membranes of his mouth, nose, or eyes without washing their hands.

Depending on the environment, current scientific data suggests the coronavirus can survive on surfaces for several hours to up to five days, Jiang Rongmeng, an expert from China’s top health oversight agency, the National Health Commission (NHC), said in a recent press conference.

The findings came after Guangdong authorities discovered nucleic acid of the new virus on the doorknob of a patient’s home less than a week earlier.
 
A medical staff member getting lunch boxes for patients through a window in an isolation ward at a hospital in Wuhan in China’s central Hubei province, during the virus outbreak in the city, on Jan. 30, 2020. (STR/AFP via Getty Images)

A number of Chinese cities, including the outbreak epicenter of Wuhan in Hubei Province; Xi’an in Shaanxi; Nanyang, Xuchang, and Kaifeng in Henan; Xingtai in Hebei; Jiujiang in Guangdong, have deployed mist cannon trucks and street cleaning trucks to spray disinfectants on the streets in an effort to eliminate the virus from public spaces.

Shenzhen and Kunming in southern China were among the latest two to use drones for the disinfectant operation.

Zeng Qun, vice director for the Shanghai Civil Affairs Bureau, asked the public to cancel all social gatherings, open windows to ensure ventilation indoors, and regularly disinfect their homes. Zeng named door handles, chairs, and toilet seat cushions as key areas that are susceptible to contamination and suggested using 75 percent ethanol solution or chlorine solution for sanitizing measures.

In a recent poll on popular messaging platform WeChat, which drew 75,000 participants, around 62 percent of them indicated that they have not taken an elevator for more than a week, worrying that they could contract the virus by contacting the doorknob. For those who still rode the elevator, many chose to bring a pen, a toothpick, or a napkin, or wear gloves to avoid any direct contact.

Officials have also cautioned the family members of those infected to wear masks and keep a distance of at least one meter (3.2 ft) as well as clean their hands immediately after touching anything exposed to the patient.

In a same-day news conference, China’s NHC announced that the virus will have a temporary name called novel coronavirus pneumonia, or NCP for short.

It remains uncertain whether the virus can spread through fecal contamination, a concern that arose after the feces of the first U.S. coronavirus patient tested positive to the virus.

Feng Luzhao, an infectious disease researcher with the Chinese Center for Disease Control and Prevention, said at the conference that they have also identified similar cases in several regions, which raised the question of whether the pathogens can spread through tainted food and water.

According to the NHC, the telltale signs for infection include fever, fatigue, dry coughs, and breathing difficulties, which can lead to pneumonia, kidney failure, and death.

However, some patients have reported atypical symptoms such as diarrhea, headaches, palpitations, chest pains, eye inflammations, and muscle soreness.

Waiting For a Violent Takeover On A Coronavirus Infected Cruise Ship


*Japanese Health Minister Katsunobu Kato said an additional 40 virus cases had been confirmed on board the Diamond Princess as of Wednesday, bringing the total number on board to 175>
*It is getting ready to explode? 
Several members of the Diamond Princess crew have appealed for help from the Indian government, and alleged that they are at risk of infection by not being segregated.
So far at least 135 people (including five crew members) have tested positive for the Wuhan coronavirus on board the vessel, amid signs of a full blown outbreak -- one of the largest outside of mainland China.
*Or a group rushes the disembark gangway. Are the police or military going to shoot them as they escape the ship. Every time a new trench of testies come positive they reset the release of the ship and passengers for another two weeks. This six yesterday was the third set of passengers tested.     

Japan confirms six more cases from quarantined cruise ship as coronavirus deaths surpasses SARS' toll

Reuters, Kyodo, Staff Report

Feb 9, 2020 

SHANGHAI/BEIJING/TOKYO – China raised the death toll from the coronavirus epidemic to 811 on Sunday, passing the number killed globally by the SARS epidemic from 2002 to 2003 and raising anxiety among people preparing to return to work after an extended Lunar New Year break.

In Japan, meanwhile, six more people on the quarantined Diamond Princess cruise ship in Yokohama have tested positive, a government source said Sunday, raising the total on the vessel to 70.

In addition, about 100 people are reportedly complaining about physical problems, including fever.

Medical institutions have tested 336 of the ship’s 3,700 passengers.

As of Sunday evening, total confirmed cases in Japan stood at 96, including the 70 on the Diamond Princess.

Thursday, February 06, 2020

The Chinese Electrical System: The Battle Between Over Supply and Blackouts.

During the last few weeks in China, it must have been a  historic emergency reduction with grid loads caused by the lockdowns and lost of businesses. Generally large scale blackouts are caused by a drastic and unexspected lost of grid loads. The grid electric frequency jumps up tripping many power plants in a attempt to protect components in plant. Then the grid collapses. Hopefully this allows the electrcity to be restored quickly.  So far you got to give the Chinese great credit for not collapsing the grid on over frequency.

Is blackouts on the way? How are you at  maintaining the employees who run the plants and grids during pandemic conditions?  These massively complex systems that are maintained by highly educated and skilled people. They are irreplacable. This already got to be consuming lots of employees in many ways. Many are now sick, dead, terrified and everyone is severely worried about their  families?

What is the long term strategy with maintaining this national security employee base?

US hospital electric codes dictates they have emergency power supplies such as diesel generators. Does China have the same codes? What if a grossly over loaded hospital loses their electricity? Do they have backup power supplied? Does the grid authorities have a strategy to keep the electricity suppied to the hospitals in a grid emergency. A priorization strategy?  There are  a lots of societal vital needs that need electricity like everything gasoline and diesel especially at the gas station level.  Society would collapse if there were no electricity.

Maybe China needs a boat load of big diesel generator?

Wednesday, February 05, 2020

Coronavirus: Proof That CNN and Officialdom Is Crazy







Update Feb *

*'There's no doubt': Top US infectious disease doctor says Wuhan coronavirus can spread even when people have no symptoms 

Update

Red(Team Analysis Team 


So this I believe is the battle between black and white thinkers and nuanced thinker. Does the main stream media cater to the black and white thinkers or nuanced thinker. Circulation, viewership and profitability informs me they most cater to the black and white thinker. 

I think a society has a inherent pathogen dangerousness number based on their medical infrastructures and educational base. A new virus hits them, they all have individual characteristic...so there is the initial virus dangerousness. Are you resilient or brittle? As the virus hits a society, eventually it starts to degrade the medical system and their infrastructure. As the situation get worst, the virus dangerousness increases and more people get sicker and sicker, with an increasing death rate. The end stage is when medical system collapses, mass panic is a part of this ...with extraordinarily virus dangerousness numbers. Eventually everyone get infected and virus just burns out. It is obvious panic and supply system issues degrades the medical system. Does a dictatorial or democratic system favor survival. I think is takes a delicate mix of both political systems to survive.   

***So what about this is science. Fixating on one patient and in a totalitarian country is crazy. You need a group of patients infected by the virus before symptoms to get a handle on this. 

It is interesting, why is the main stream media fixated on disproving this? 
Report that said Wuhan coronavirus can spread before symptoms was flawed

By Jamie Gumbrecht, Madeline Holcombe, Nadia Kounang and Michael Nedelman, CNN

Updated 9:57 AM ET, Wed February 5, 2020 
CNN)A report that suggested Wuhan coronavirus could spread before the onset of symptoms was flawed, according to public health experts.

Chinese officials had previously said that patients can be infectious even if they are not presenting symptoms. An early study on asymptomatic transmission of the virus published last week in the prestigious New England Journal of Medicine and appeared to confirm Chinese health officials' assessment.

But public health officials now say the report may be flawed. 
Interviews with the Chinese patient at the center of the case revealed she may have actually had mild, nonspecific symptoms.

There have been more than 20,000 confirmed cases of coronavirus in China, with a death toll of 425. The disease has spread internationally, infecting 170 people in more than 20 countries. 
The World Health Organization (WHO) has declared the outbreak a public health emergency of international concern.
Patient not initially interviewed

The original report said a Shanghai resident came to Germany on a business trip and did not exhibit symptoms of illness while she interacted with several German colleagues. On her return flight to China, she became ill and later tested positive for the novel coronavirus.
After her visit, four individuals at the company -- two of whom had direct interactions with their Chinese colleague -- tested positive for the virus.

In an email to CNN on Tuesday, German public health officials said the report was incorrect.

"In contrast to first reports according to which the index case (a Chinese traveling in Germany) seemed to have been asymptomatic during the time of likely transmission here, recent interviews by the Bavarian health authorities and the Robert Koch Institute in Chinese language revealed that she might have had mild unspecific symptoms including back pain and also took antipyretic medication." 
One of the paper's authors previously told CNN they relied on interviews with the German patients.

"This was likely an error of being inadequately careful by the authors, an error that is understandable in a crisis situation, but is still problematic," said Marc Lipsitch, a professor of epidemiology and director of the Center for Communicable Disease Dynamics at Harvard T.H. Chan School of Public Health. Lipsitch was not involved with the NEJM study.

"Data has circulated that the new coronavirus would be infected throughout the incubation period," The Public Health Agency of Sweden posted on its website. "This information has not been presented in a way that provides scientifically substantiated facts. Rather, it has emerged that the data is unfortunately based on misconceptions. We believe that it is impossible for the new corona virus to infect throughout the incubation period ... This applies,
This is just a testimonial. Where is the Swedish proof and report on this. Have  they even had one case. We are up the frinkin river if our main stream media reports like this. 
among other things, to an article in the New England Journal of Medicine that has subsequently proven to contain major flaws and errors."
Research already cited

Before German public health officials addressed the report's flaw, US health officials and the US Centers for Disease Control and Prevention website had cited the research.
"It was not clear whether an asymptomatic person could transmit it to someone while they were asymptomatic. Now we know from a recent report from Germany that that is absolutely the case," Dr. Anthony Fauci, director of the National Institute of Allergy and Infectious Diseases, said during a news conference of the President's Coronavirus Task Force on Friday.
Well, maybe this is CNN's strategy of prying this kind of information from our health agency.   
CNN reached out to the New England Journal of Medicine. Representatives from the medical journal said it is working on a response, "but we're not yet in a position to make a statement."CNN also reached out to Fauci and the CDC and has not yet received a response.

The World Health Organization said in a weekend report that "the main driver of transmission ... is symptomatic cases." The organization said it's "aware of possible transmission" from asymptomatic individuals in a few instances but said that this may be rare and not a major player in the spread of the virus.

Tuesday, February 04, 2020

Was Hinsdale Police Department "Death Spiral" A Result Of The Delayed Charging With This Guy?

If they charged this guy on the first sexual assault, would the other three girls gotten sexually assaulted? Did low police manning cause this?   

Hinsdale man charged with sexual assault
Posted Monday, February 3, 2020 11:27 am

By Bob Audette, Brattleboro Reformer

KEENE, N.H. — A 39-year-old Hinsdale, N.H. man has been charged with five counts of sexual assault following an investigation that began in 2015.

According to documents filed with Cheshire County Superior Court, the Hinsdale Police Department was first made aware of Steven J. Baraby in November 2015 after it received a report that he had taken pictures of two pre-teen girls wearing lingerie.

Four months later, Baraby told police that he did take pictures of the girls while playing "dress up" but became "angry and defensive when asked if he suggested to the kids that they should wear lingerie," stated the court documents, which were filed by Lt. Melissa Evans on Jan. 31. Baraby allegedly deleted the photos before his police interview and there is no indication he was charged at the time.

Then, in November 2017, the Hinsdale Police Department received a report that Baraby was having sex with three girls.

A short while later, Evans interviewed one of the alleged victims, who said she had been sexually assaulted by Baraby during a sleepover at his house sometime in October 2017. A second alleged victim told doctors that she had been sexually assaulted by Baraby in November 2017.

And then, in May 2018, the Hinsdale Police Department received a report that Baraby had allegedly sexually assaulted a third victim. That victim, during an interview with police in July 2018, did not disclose a sexual assault. But in December 2019, the girl told investigators that she had been assaulted by Baraby over the course of about one year.

According to the affidavit filed by Evans, Baraby sent text messages to a family member stating "I never touched her inappropriately," "Tell me how bad this will end for me," and "I will not spend the rest of my life in jail because of lies."

One of the alleged victims told Evans that all three of the girls were present during one incident when Baraby allegedly assaulted all of them.

"I felt disgusted but also pressured to do what he asked," wrote one of the victims.

Baraby was charged with three counts of felonious sexual assault, and two counts of aggravated felonious sexual assault.

He was arrested on Jan. 31 and ordered held for arraignment on Monday.

A Message to the US Senators

Why haven't the democrats taken advantage of coronavirus. The meme would be, can your trust Trump in a China size contagion!!!

Monday, February 03, 2020

Is Coronavirus a "Deep Impact" Movie Kind of Situation

*So what percentage of the total population catches the virus: NIH doctor says 25% of coronavirus cases in China are ‘very serious,’ requiring ‘intensive care’

*Wouldn't the Trump folks up to playing politics on the Chinese coronavirus? Notice the Chinese term for it is a political virus. Can you imagine what the coronavirus political virus would look like in our highly partisan USA environment?      
Geopolitics of epidemic: Is U.S. using 2019-nCoV to impose 'sanctions' against China?
By Abhishek G Bhaya


Is the U.S. exploiting the coronavirus outbreak to subtly put in place a sanctions-like regime against China? The promptness with which the U.S. has gone about imposing extensive travel restrictions in the aftermath of the outbreak – despite the World Health Organization's (WHO) advice to the contrary – has triggered global panic and identical response by a host of countries, deepening China's isolation.
Meanwhile, the U.S. Secretary of Commerce Wilbur Ross gleefully rejoiced at the prospect of global companies leaving China that "could bring jobs back to the U.S." – isn't that a key strategic objective of President Donald Trump's trade war against Beijing? – indicating clearly that Washington's decisions are more geopolitical than a reasonable preventive response to an epidemic.
A glance at Trump's older tweets makes it clear that it has been the U.S. President's dream to hurt Beijing economically by pulling out American companies from manufacturing in China. Analysts feel that the U.S. would not hesitate to exploit China's vulnerability in the wake of the coronavirus outbreak.

Screenshots of U.S. President Donald Trump's old tweets.
Beijing has protested against the U.S. travel advisory saying, "It is certainly not a gesture of goodwill." While Chinese Ambassador to the U.S. Cui Tiankai, in response to Ross' comments, warned against a "political virus" that could create a hurdle between the two countries from working together, Chinese experts have also insisted that the coronavirus is a health issue and not a political game.
The WHO has declared the novel coronavirus, designated 2019-nCoV, a global health emergency, but at the same time, the UN body's emergency committee found no reason for countries to impose travel or trade restrictions against China...








I find it preposterous we don't know how dangerous this virus is. Everyone throughout the world keeps saying the same thing: we are waiting for a comprehensive analysis with its dangerousness.  Lets imagine  if the fatality rate was say between 25 to 50% and extraordinarily catchy...the Deep Impart scenario. What benefit would it be for governments to admit how bad it going to be in a years time? You know they would lie to us if they knew it all was going to lead to the destruction of governments all though the world? I feel they would lie to us until the evidence  of the extent of this was clear to everyone. 
A video apparently filmed in No 5 Wuhan hospital went viral showing body bags in a bus, and a man weeping next to his dead father. In the video, the person filming says: “So many people just died. There are so many dead bodies … they are still moving bodies.
I am watching very carefully to see if countries' roll out their military to quell Coronavirus destabilization. Honestly, god bless our military if it comes to that. 

Maybe the Black Death and middle ages plague has something to teach us.