Saturday, February 15, 2014

Is Davis-Besse a Goner?

How can you trust these guys? Will they ever start-up again. These guys are in tremendous economic pressure from low electric prices and natural gas fracting...

So these big nuke fixes like a head job or steam generators are as likely to kill a plant as fix them?

Remember San Onofre and Crystal River?

These guys in the mid west are competing to cut their dividend. Exelon has recently and they are threatening to shutdown nuclear plants.

Are they really blackmailing the president?

FirstEnergy Corp. board slashes quarterly dividend by 34.5%

4:10 pm, January 21, 2014
Directors of FirstEnergy Corp. (NYSE: FE) have slashed by more than a third the quarterly cash dividend on its common stock as it also forecast lower operating earnings for all of 2014.The Akron-based electric company said it cut the dividend 34.5%, to a new rate of 36 cents a share from the rate of 55 cents a share that FirstEnergy has paid since 2008.The decreased dividend is payable March 1 to stockholders of record Feb. 7.

“This dividend change is expected to preserve a solid and sustainable payment for our shareholders,” FirstEnergy president and CEO Anthony J. Alexander said in a news release.
When will the stock holders going to get pissed by hoisting the head job and a steam generator job...now this?  FirstEntergy stock price is about $32 today...the last time they were at this price was back in George Bush's era of July 2001?

There stock price is acting like something big is up...

Freakin NRC region III sucks?

Davis-Besse had air gap in shield building

FirstEnergy found flaw while replacing 2 steam generators


OAK HARBOR, Ohio —Nobody knows why, but there apparently was a problem sealing up Davis-Besse nuclear power plant’s shield building after the plant’s worn-out reactor head was replaced in fall 2011.
FirstEnergy Corp. notified the Nuclear Regulatory Commission at 11:14 a.m. Friday that the utility discovered an extensive air pocket or gap of concrete in the shield building's inner wall late Thursday night. The discovery was made while the nuclear plant was offline and in the early stages of a $600 million project to replace the plant’s two original steam generators — major pieces of equipment that create steam so the plant’s turbine generator can spin and, thus, make electricity.
After cutting a hole through the shield building to move the new generators in and take the old ones out, workers noticed a large void on the building’s inner wall.
The flaw runs the 25-foot length of a cut made in fall 2011 when the new reactor head was brought in and the old one was removed, said Jennifer Young, a spokesman for FirstEnergy Nuclear Operating Co.
The void varies in width from six to 12 inches. The depth of it is something less than the 2.5-foot thickness of that mostly concrete-and-steel structure, because there is no evidence of the flaw on the structure’s exterior, Ms. Young said.
“It’s probably an air pocket that got in there when the concrete was [last] poured,” Ms. Young said.
In its notification to the NRC — scheduled to be made public on the agency’s Web site (nrc.gov) on Tuesday — the utility characterized the structural defect as an “unfilled area”that “is likely due to not completely repouring the shield building wall opening in 2011.”
Ms. Mitlyng said she was not sure if NRC inspectors were on hand when the concrete was poured in 2011.
...Davis-Besse’s planned restart in fall 2011 was delayed until early 2012 because of cracks in the same structure.
FirstEnergy believes those are unrelated to the large void in concrete that was just discovered. Utility engineers previously attributed them to weather impacts from the Blizzard of ’78.
The NRC has no reason to believe they’re related...

Tuesday, February 11, 2014

Charles Dana Bridge: To My Lawyer



http://www.reformer.com/localnews/ci_23801494/bridge-protester-arrested-hinsdale


Charles Dana and Anna Hunt Marsh bridges

February 11. 2014 10:02AM

Court tosses felony wiretap conviction in taping of Manchester police captain, high school officials

CONCORD – The New Hampshire Supreme Court threw out the felony wiretapping convictions of the founder of CopBlock.org, a group that claims it polices the police, saying the judge made a mistake in instructing the jury, an error serious enough the jury could have found Adam Mueller innocent.

Mueller, 31, formerly of Jackson, Wis., but now residing in Laconia, was convicted of secretly recording telephone conversations he had with a Manchester police captain, the Manchester West High School principal and her assistant in 2011 and spent three months in jail.

He was seeking their comments on a video he posted on YouTube that showed a confrontation between West High student Frank Harrington III, 17, and police detective Darren Murphy in the school's cafeteria. Harrington was charged with disorderly conduct and resisting arrest.

Murphy was recorded roughly pushing Harrington down onto a cafeteria table. A police department internal review concluded Murphy did not use excessive force.

Mueller, a Free Stater who goes by the name "Ademo Freeman," posted the telephone recordings online. Police learned of them when Mueller mentioned them on a local radio show and acknowledged he did not tell Capt. Jonathan Hopkins, then West High School principal Mary Ellen McGorry, or her assistant Denise Michael that he had recorded the conversations.

The Supreme Court, in its decision released Tuesday, said Hillsborough County Superior Court Judge Kenneth C. Brown erred when he instructed the jury that a

 

...violation of the felony wiretapping statute requires a mental state of "purposely," when the statute specifically identifies "wilfully" as the applicable mental state...

Under state law, "wilful" means the defendant must act with an intentional or reckless disregard for the lawfulness of his conduct. In other words, the defendant has not violated the law if he has a "good faith" belief his conduct was lawful, according to the unanimous decision written by Justice Robert J. Lynn.

The court said the erroneous instruction likely affected the outcome of the proceedings and to allow the convictions to stand "would seriously affect the fairness and integrity of judicial proceedings."

Monday, February 10, 2014

Massive Radiation Accident Occurred At Pilgrim Nuke

So i am saying the crud burst that flooded a bunch of bottom level floors...this caused the well contamination outside the reactor and turbine building...


Here is the inspection report.

First crud burst: REPORT 05000293/2013002

This is going to be so costly...they are tremendously wasting maintenance funding and company resources. I can remember at VY doing rounds...I'd pop into the cleanup room without any protective clothes on. Then we had fuel failures and crud bursts. It would then take me a hour just to get dressed up and undress to do the same job. The radiation protection department would require it because the contamination was so high. Cycle that thought with the thousands of small and big jobs for a month, especially during future outages.

You get it, this seriously dilutes their resources from maintenance and operation of the plant into controlling contamination and radiation. It is a serious dilution of organizational resources! 
Massive Radiation Accident Occurred At Pilgrim Nuke

During the period January 1 through October 14, the plant has experienced several reactor scrams and forced outages. As a result of these scrams, crud bursts occurred that resulted in radioactive contamination being dislodged from reactor system piping and components and re-located elsewhere in these plant systems. This relocation has resulted in increased dose rates in the affected components and surrounding areas. The crud was transported to the CRD hydraulic control units, scram discharge instrument volume headers/ piping, reactor water cleanup system, reactor water sample sink, mitigation monitoring system, and the RHR system. 
Additionally, some of the scrams resulted from the loss of off-site power. With the loss of off-site power, sump pumps for plant areas became inoperable, resulting in the sumps overflowing and spreading contamination to floor areas.
I would just ask…these guys have been having excess shutdowns for many years. Why no report of crud burst in the past? They changed something else in the recent past, it created excessive crud…the recent hard plant trip just exposed this.

The crud can be extraordinarily radioactive...many 100's of gallons spilled onto the floor? That is how it got outside. You notice how they didn't explain the crud burst in their explanation of the 60 picocuries per liters out in the yard.  

Why wasn't the little sump pumps on the vital bus? One wonders how crapped up the torus has become? Was their other particles beside gamma?
http://www.capecodonline.com/apps/pbcs.dll/article?AID=/20140118/NEWS/401180331

High tritium level seen at Pilgrim

January 18, 2014

PLYMOUTH — Concentrations of a radioactive isotope called tritium found in late December during groundwater monitoring at Pilgrim Nuclear Power Station were the highest detected since testing began at the plant in 2007.

Tritium levels at the 24 groundwater wells on the plant property generally range from undetectable to about 5,000 picocuries per liter, according to Joyce McMahon, spokeswoman for Entergy Corp., which owns and manages the plant. The drinking water maximum standard is 20,000 picocuries, according to the U.S. Environmental Protection Agency.

Tritium — a byproduct of the nuclear fission process — was found at 69,000 picocuries per liter in a sample taken from a well adjacent to a catch basin that collects and releases waste from the reactor into Cape Cod Bay.

Tritium levels at the 24 groundwater wells on the plant property generally range from undetectable to about 5,000 picocuries per liter, according to Joyce McMahon, spokeswoman for Entergy Corp., which owns and manages the plant. The drinking water maximum standard is 20,000 picocuries, according to the U.S. Environmental Protection Agency.

Last April, Entergy identified a separation of it neutralizing sump discharge line. The company theorized, at that time, that this line was the source of tritium groundwater contamination first identified years earlier at the site.

The new monitoring well is adjacent to the catch basin where the outfall from the sump discharge line was rerouted, which supports that theory.

After this latest spike in tritium, plant operators stopped using a line that runs from a holding tank for the radioactive waste to a catch basin adjacent to the reactor.

These guys below exactly mean what they say. Now if they said the crud resulted in increase in contamination (radiation) levels...this would be a rather small level of radiation. Talking about crud getting deposited outside the containment causing increased dose rates...that is talking about a tremendous increase in crud contamination levels. Dose and contamination rates are two different things!
This relocation has resulted in increased dose rates in the affected components and surrounding areas. The crud was transported to the CRD hydraulic control units, scram discharge instrument volume headers/ piping, reactor water cleanup system, reactor water sample sink, mitigation monitoring system, and the RHR system.

 


 

Saturday, February 08, 2014

NRC Answers My Questions on the New Palisades CRDM Cracks


Moderator February 10, 2014 at 4:05 pm

To clarify our previous answer, the NRC did a confirmatory analysis, to verify that under the different potential growth scenarios, the flaws would still not grow fast enough to cause through wall leaks prior to the present inspection.Elba Sanchez Santiago

My response to the above:
Come on, in the 2012/20013 assumption this outage is you would test 25% of the CRDM and find no cracks. Then test 25% thereafter. It is the normal condition that a plant finds no cracks on their CRDM throughout the life of the plant. 
So far you found 17 CRDM having cracks …that is 37% of the rods. You usually find lots more cracks after the all the is results come in. You we can’t trust the agency to anticipate this blossoming level of degradation…how can we trust the agency to anticipate a leak. How come the agency didn’t see this coming? You know there is a astonishing number of violations going back years with the CRDMs and quality. The 2012 leak violations was just a repeat of the 2001...and 2001 was a violations repeat of other prior incidences.
Just saying, why wasn’t the state of the art with metallurgy able to predict in 2012 that Palisades would find “at least” 37% of their CRDMs had cracks in them. Believe me, based on all the past reports I read on this, you won’t disclose the full numbers of cracks in the CRDMs (more than one in a CRDM)
Why can’t these  Palisades PhD metallurgist predict future flaws and cracks, instead of justifying past flaws
It is illegal to start-up and operate if they had evidence that CRDM unidentified leakage was increasing…they assumed they didn’t have leaking CRDM because they didn’t have full vision of the CRDM. They did not have perfect evidence that the unidentified leakage wasn’t a CRDM leak.  
Lets remember the incomplete information accident in the Davis Besse head event. The licensee and the NRC assumed the CDRM flanges were leaking when it was a crack through the CRDM nozzle and eating the head. Who in a new and different accident are talking about “refusing to communicate uncertainty“? 
For decades there is a widespread mindset in these organizations that piping cracks and flaws don’t lead to leaks. That is what is behind this. 
You get it, these CRDM leaks at Palisades tend to show up within months of a start-up and the leak worsens quickly. I’ll bet you both leaks (2001 and 2012) actually started before start-up. Palisades has a pattern of calling a prohibited CRDM leaks not a leak….cold bodily waiting to till the CRDM leak gets to a .3 GPM unidentified leakage or more according in their procedures. They have a requirement not to operated with pressure boundary leaks and they chose to ignore the rules! 
I am just saying next operating cycle, how can you trust these guys to follow the rules? How can you trust these guys with a pattern of behavior like this...when these guys having abnormal or increasing unidentified leaking, when they don’t have absolute proof a pressure boundary “is not leaking“…how can you trust them to do the right thing with incomplete information.
Honestly, how can you trust these guys to meet the commitment they won’t operate with pressure boundary leakage ever again? 
How can we trust the agency to make sure a plant like Palisades is keying on accurate, up to date and real time information about pressure boundary leaks? When Palisades and the agency are knowingly keying off incomplete information…they should act “super” conservatively.  
Next operating cycle will they immediately shutdown the plant when a CRDM begins to leak like regulation requires? Will it take the weeks and months to shutdown the plant over leaking CRDMs like in the two times in the past? In the leaks in 2001 and 2012 Palisades did that. That is a pattern.
An Inspector’s Perspective On the Control Rod Drive Mechanism Housing Flaws At Palisades

NRC Answers My Questions on New Palisades CRDM Cracks
 
3 Comments Posted by Moderator on February 6, 2014
Elba Sanchez Santiago

Materials Engineering Inspector

NRC Region III

Elba Sanchez Santiago is a
Materials Engineering Inspector in the
NRC’s Region III.


There has been a lot of interest lately in the flaws that were recently found in the control rod drive mechanism (CRDM) housings at the Palisades nuclear plant, near South Haven, Mich. I want to share my direct experience with the NRC’s thorough and independent evaluation of this issue.
First, some background. The control rod drive mechanism moves control rods inside the reactor to control the level of nuclear chain reaction. The housing is a metal tube around the control rod drive mechanism, which is connected to the control rod and prevents leakage of reactor water into containment.
According to a commitment made in 2012, the plant conducted inspections of 45 CRDM housings in this reactor and found flaws in 17 of them. Palisades committed to these inspections after the discovery of a crack in one of the housings resulted in a plant shutdown in 2012.
Because of my expertise as a materials engineering inspector, I was dispatched to Palisades after it shut down in 2012. I was to evaluate the plant’s response to the discovery of the through-wall crack. As a member of a special inspection team that further evaluated this issue, I reviewed the plant’s testing of eight additional CRDM housings and their corrective actions. Even though no other cracks were found, the plant committed to further evaluate the condition of the housings during the 2014 refueling outage.
I came to Palisades before the current outage started to evaluate the site’s inspection methodology, work procedures, tooling and personnel qualifications. When the examinations started, I observed some of the actual testing and evaluated the results. To date, there is no evidence of leakage resulting from the flaws. I will remain onsite providing oversight over the plant’s actions until the issue is resolved.
Since the issue first came to light in 2012, I have been working with a team of other inspectors and specialists in Region III and the headquarters office in Rockville, Md., to make sure we ask the necessary questions to understand the plant’s methodology and assessments, and independently verify the conclusions.
Our in-depth independent reviews will continue until the plant completes the necessary repairs and takes proper actions to make sure the CRDM housing flaws do not lead to a significant safety concern. The results of our inspections will be documented in a publicly available inspection report.
Mike Mulligan February 6, 2014 at 5:27 pm

So Palisades destroyed their CRDMs through or a result of all the recent startups and shutdown? 
Is the Pressurizer weld flaw today connected to all the CRDM cracks? 
Does the NRC really think those pristine inspected rods without flaw in 2012 really didn’t have flaws…when two of them were discovered with cracks this outage? 
And the industry says the incubation period for developing a crack is over ten years? 
These vulnerable eight CRDMs not replaced this outage…is anyone thinking about the loss of NRC and industry credibility if any of them come up with cracks or leaks within the next operating period…maybe something worst?

ModeratorFebruary 7, 2014 at 4:21 pm

In response to your questions:

Q. So Palisades destroyed their CRDMs through or a result of all the recent startups and shutdown?

A. There are various factors that have been determined to impact the initiation and propagation of flaws in the CRDM Housings: susceptible material, stresses in the weld, and the environment inside the housing. We will be evaluating if the startups and shutdowns could have additional impact on these flaws during the current inspection.

Q. Is the Pressurizer weld flaw today connected the all the CRDM cracks?

A. The pressurizer weld flaw is not related to the flaws identified in the CRDM housings. These components are made of different materials, have different configurations, are exposed to different environments, and the flaws themselves differ as well.

Q. Does the NRC really think those pristine inspected rods without flaw in 2012 really didn’t have flaws…when two of them were discovered with cracks this outage?
And the industry says the incubation period for developing a crack is over ten years?

A. It is possible that the cracks in these housing were present in 2012 but were too small to be identified by the inspection techniques used. However, the NRC and the licensee performed an analysis which concluded that if additional cracks existed at the time but were too small to identify, they would not grow fast enough to cause through- wall leaks prior to the present inspection. However, we are looking at this again during our current inspection.

Q.These vulnerable eight CRDMs not replaced this outage…is anyone thinking about the loss of NRC and industry credibility if any of them come up with cracks or leaks within the next operating period…maybe something worst.

A.The licensee is replacing CRDM housings with a newer design that eliminates the problem weld. If the licensee leaves any of the older style CRDM housings in place, they will need to perform additional testing and analysis to support that decision, and we will inspect those activities to ensure they are performed correctly and the conclusions reached are technically sound and well supported.


Elba Sanchez Santiago

Friday, February 07, 2014

New England Most Vulnerable During a Electric Substation Terrorist Assault


So what will the terrorist being thinking and how will they set it up?

They would know though the media that the New England area has a vulnerable grid and not enough capacity. It is in a fragile condition for a decade or more
Based on the near miss of a grid crisis with Nor’easter Nemo...a snow storm like this would make the grid the most fragile. The blizzard would knock down half the grid itself. This would be the opportune time to do a terrorist event. We know the grid transmission around the Pilgrim Nuclear Plant is weak as hell. The Pilgrim plant off site power transmission system is particularly weak showing symtoms for many years. That could be the weak link. You might not melt down nuclear power plant...but a terrorist event trying to would be a big news all around the world.
Basically, we know almost in any normal winter cold spell...they would be diverting natural gas towards heating...thus making the transmission system particularly vulnerable.
You know, you could key off the NEISO information site. Very high prices of electricity ($700 to $1200) would key you when it is most fragile...the pie chart of the power source percentages would key you to when they are throttling natural gas away from our electricity. If the percentage of natural gas is below 20% to 30%, or we got something like 10% to 20% of fuel oil supplying electricity...then we are in a crisis. We got drastically reduced flexibility to offset a terrorist attack...
You know, if you only got a few teams of terrorist...the natural grid crisis would get you closer to a wide spread blackout in the dangerous winter time with cold weather. It could cascade into something really big!!!
In the heat waves of summer...you could key off the same data and pull off a big one.
A prolonged power shortage makes us very vulnerable to a terrorist event...it could turn a minor event grid-wise into a major USA embarrassment. Take you time planing this...we are in a power shortage for a decade or more. An economic pickup is your friend...
  
Published February 6, 2014 in the Rutland Herald
By SUSAN SMALLLHEER
Staff Writer

After several years of an electricity glut, there is suddenly a projected energy shortfall in New England.

The future retirement of two large coal-fired power plants in Massachusetts, coupled with the 2014 retirement of Vermont Yankee nuclear power plant, could translate into a slight power shortage in New England in the future, the region’s electric grid operator said Wednesday.

ISO-New England, which manages the power network, said its future capacity auction on Monday showed that the region was short about 165 megawatts out of a total of 33,855 megawatts of expected demand in 2017-18.

The ISO auction only attracted bids totaling 33,700 megawatts.

ISO attributed the shortfall to the pending retirements of two coal-fired power plants, Brayton Point and Salem Harbor, both in Massachusetts, as well as the Vermont Yankee, which is slated to close at the end of the year. Norwalk Harbor, an oil-fired power plant in Connecticut, was shut down last year by its owner because it wasn’t economical.

ISO-NE President Gordon van Welie said in a statement the plant retirements are 10 percent of the region’s total capacity. “The region abruptly went from a capacity surplus and low prices in previous auctions to a capacity shortfall and relatively high prices,” van Welie said.

Christopher Recchia, commissioner of the Vermont Department of Public Service, said his department was still evaluating the auction news, and looked toward the release of more detailed information later this month, including what power companies bid.

“This is not good news for the region,” Recchia said. “We don’t know what the financial shortfalls will be. Vermont is in better shape than other parts of New England because of our efficiency (programs) and distributed generation in all the solar and wind and renewable projects we’re doing.”

He said, “We have more analysis to do, it’s really not clear. But it’s a signal that we need to work on the regional infrastructure effort with the other states.”

As we look to the future, there will be more volatility,” Schnure said...

Reliance on natural gas fuels risk to grid

By DAVE SOLOMON
New Hampshire Union Leader
New Englanders braced for the coldest weather of the winter the week of Jan. 21, knowing temperatures were going to dip below zero. What they didn't know was that controllers of the New England power grid came dangerously close to imposing roving blackouts due to constraints on the supply of natural gas that fuels most of the region's power plants.

Then on Feb. 8, as the region braced for Winter Storm Nemo, it happened again.

"If we had lost one more big generator or a transmission line, we would have had to resort to our emergency procedures," said Vamsi Chadalavada, executive vice president and chief operating officer for the Independent System Operator of the New England power grid (ISO-NE), based in Holyoke, Mass. "Those procedures are to call on help from neighboring areas, then to call for voluntary conservation, and if that's not sufficient, to institute controlled power outages ... We came quite close."

Chadalavada described those tense moments in the control room at ISO-NE as the most stressful in recent memory. "And the period between them was equally stressful," he said, "because the uncertainty persisted. Although those were the peak periods of uncertainty, it did not disappear due to the continuation of the same conditions."

No one wants to think the New England power grid is subject to roving blackouts under the worst conditions, let alone during the relatively normal winter now ending. Peak demand on the system hit 20,800 megawatts during the early January crisis. That's high, but not nearly as high as the historic peak of 22,818 megawatts in 2004, when the economy was better and the weather was colder. But there was no talk of roving blackouts in 2004.



April Sniper Attack Knocked Out Substation, Raises Concern for Country's Power Grid

SAN JOSE, Calif.—The attack began just before 1 a.m. on April 16 last year, when someone slipped into an underground vault not far from a busy freeway and cut telephone cables.

Within half an hour, snipers opened fire on a nearby electrical substation. Shooting for 19 minutes, they surgically knocked out 17 giant transformers that funnel power to Silicon Valley. A minute before a police car arrived, the shooters disappeared into the night.

A sniper attack in April that knocked out an electrical substation near San Jose, Calif., has raised fears that the country's power grid is vulnerable to terrorism. WSJ's Rebecca Smith has the details. Photo: Talia Herman for The Wall Street Journal

With over 160,000 miles of transmission lines, the U.S. power grid is designed to handle natural and man-made disasters, as well as fluctuations in demand. How does the system work? WSJ's Jason Bellini has #TheShortAnswer.

To avoid a blackout, electric-grid officials rerouted power around the site and asked power plants in Silicon Valley to produce more electricity. But it took utility workers 27 days to make repairs and bring the substation back to life.

Nobody has been arrested or charged in the attack atPCG inYour ValueYour Change Short position Metcalf transmission substation. It is an incident of which few Americans are aware. But one former federal regulator is calling it a terrorist act that, if it were widely replicated across the country, could take down the U.S. electric grid and black out much of the country.

The attack was "the most significant incident of domestic terrorism involving the grid that has ever occurred" in the U.S., said Jon Wellinghoff, who was chairman of the Federal Energy Regulatory Commission at the time.

The Wall Street Journal assembled a chronology of the Metcalf attack from filings PG&E made to state and federal regulators; from other documents including a video released by the Santa Clara County Sheriff's Department; and from interviews, including with Mr. Wellinghoff.

The 64-year-old Nevadan, who was appointed to FERC in 2006 by President George W. Bushand stepped down in November, said he gave closed-door, high-level briefings to federal agencies, Congress and the White House last year. As months have passed without arrests, he said, he has grown increasingly concerned that an even larger attack could be in the works. He said he was going public about the incident out of concern that national security is at risk and critical electric-grid sites aren't adequately protected.

The Federal Bureau of Investigation doesn't think a terrorist organization caused the Metcalf attack, said a spokesman for the FBI in San Francisco. Investigators are "continuing to sift through the evidence," he said.

Some people in the utility industry share Mr. Wellinghoff's concerns, including a former official at PG&E, Metcalf's owner, who told an industry gathering in November he feared the incident could have been a dress rehearsal for a larger event.

"This wasn't an incident where Billy-Bob and Joe decided, after a few brewskis, to come in and shoot up a substation," Mark Johnson, retired vice president of transmission for PG&E, told the utility security conference, according to a video of his presentation. "This was an event that was well thought out, well planned and they targeted certain components." When reached, Mr. Johnson declined to comment further.

A spokesman for PG&E said the company takes all incidents seriously but declined to discuss the Metcalf event in detail for fear of giving information to potential copycats. "We won't speculate about the motives" of the attackers, added the spokesman, Brian Swanson. He said PG&E has increased security measures.

Utility executives and federal energy officials have long worried that the electric grid is vulnerable to sabotage. That is in part because the grid, which is really three systems serving different areas of the U.S., has failed when small problems such as trees hitting transmission lines created cascading blackouts. One in 2003 knocked out power to 50 million people in the Eastern U.S. and Canada for days.

Many of the system's most important components sit out in the open, often in remote locations, protected by little more than cameras and chain-link fences.

Transmission substations are critical links in the grid. They make it possible for electricity to move long distances, and serve as hubs for intersecting power lines.

Within a substation, transformers raise the voltage of electricity so it can travel hundreds of miles on high-voltage lines, or reduce voltages when electricity approaches its destination. The Metcalf substation functions as an off-ramp from power lines for electricity heading to homes and businesses in Silicon Valley.

The country's roughly 2,000 very large transformers are expensive to build, often costing millions of dollars each, and hard to replace. Each is custom made and weighs up to 500,000 pounds, and "I can only build 10 units a month," said Dennis Blake, general manager of Pennsylvania Transformer in Pittsburgh, one of seven U.S. manufacturers. The utility industry keeps some spares on hand.

A 2009 Energy Department report said that "physical damage of certain system components (e.g. extra-high-voltage transformers) on a large scale…could result in prolonged outages, as procurement cycles for these components range from months to years."

Mr. Wellinghoff said a FERC analysis found that if a surprisingly small number of U.S. substations were knocked out at once, that could destabilize the system enough to cause a blackout that could encompass most of the U.S.

Not everyone is so pessimistic. Gerry Cauley, chief executive of the North America Electric Reliability Corp., a standards-setting group that reports to FERC, said he thinks the grid is more resilient than Mr. Wellinghoff fears.

"I don't want to downplay the scenario he describes," Mr. Cauley said. "I'll agree it's possible from a technical assessment." But he said that even if several substations went down, the vast majority of people would have their power back in a few hours.

The utility industry has been focused on Internet attacks, worrying that hackers could take down the grid by disabling communications and important pieces of equipment. Companies have reported 13 cyber incidents in the past three years, according to a Wall Street Journal analysis of emergency reports utilities file with the federal government. There have been no reports of major outages linked to these events, although companies have generally declined to provide details.

"A lot of people in the electric industry have been distracted by cybersecurity threats," said Stephen Berberich, chief executive of the California Independent System Operator, which runs much of the high-voltage transmission system for the utilities. He said that physical attacks pose a "big, if not bigger" menace.

There were 274 significant instances of vandalism or deliberate damage in the three years, and more than 700 weather-related problems, according to the Journal's analysis.

Until the Metcalf incident, attacks on U.S. utility equipment were mostly linked to metal thieves, disgruntled employees or bored hunters, who sometimes took potshots at small transformers on utility poles to see what happens. (Answer: a small explosion followed by an outage.)

Last year, an Arkansas man was charged with multiple attacks on the power grid, including setting fire to a switching station. He has pleaded not guilty and is undergoing a psychiatric evaluation, according to federal court records.

Overseas, terrorist organizations were linked to 2,500 attacks on transmission lines or towers and at least 500 on substations from 1996 to 2006, according to a January report from the Electric Power Research Institute, an industry-funded research group, which cited State Department data.

An attack on a PG&E substation near San Jose, Calif., in April knocked out 17 transformers like this one. Talia Herman for The Wall Street Journal

To some, the Metcalf incident has lifted the discussion of serious U.S. grid attacks beyond the theoretical. "The breadth and depth of the attack was unprecedented" in the U.S., said Rich Lordan, senior technical executive for the Electric Power Research Institute. The motivation, he said, "appears to be preparation for an act of war."

The attack lasted slightly less than an hour, according to the chronology assembled by the Journal.

At 12:58 a.m., AT&T fiber-optic telecommunications cables were cut—in a way that made them hard to repair—in an underground vault near the substation, not far from U.S. Highway 101 just outside south San Jose. It would have taken more than one person to lift the metal vault cover, said people who visited the site.
Nine minutes later, some customers of Level 3 Communications, an Internet service provider, lost service. Cables in its vault near the Metcalf substation were also cut.

At 1:31 a.m., a surveillance camera pointed along a chain-link fence around the substation recorded a streak of light that investigators from the Santa Clara County Sheriff's office think was a signal from a waved flashlight. It was followed by the muzzle flash of rifles and sparks from bullets hitting the fence.

The substation's cameras weren't aimed outside its perimeter, where the attackers were. They shooters appear to have aimed at the transformers' oil-filled cooling systems. These began to bleed oil, but didn't explode, as the transformers probably would have done if hit in other areas.

About six minutes after the shooting started, PG&E confirms, it got an alarm from motion sensors at the substation, possibly from bullets grazing the fence, which is shown on video.

Four minutes later, at 1:41 a.m., the sheriff's department received a 911 call about gunfire, sent by an engineer at a nearby power plant that still had phone service.

Riddled with bullet holes, the transformers leaked 52,000 gallons of oil, then overheated. The first bank of them crashed at 1:45 a.m., at which time PG&E's control center about 90 miles north received an equipment-failure alarm.

Five minutes later, another apparent flashlight signal, caught on film, marked the end of the attack. More than 100 shell casings of the sort ejected by AK-47s were later found at the site.

At 1:51 a.m., law-enforcement officers arrived, but found everything quiet. Unable to get past the locked fence and seeing nothing suspicious, they left.

A PG&E worker, awakened by the utility's control center at 2:03 a.m., arrived at 3:15 a.m. to survey the damage.

Grid officials routed some power around the substation to keep the system stable and asked customers in Silicon Valley to conserve electricity.

In a news release, PG&E said the substation had been hit by vandals. It has since confirmed 17 transformers were knocked out.

Mr. Wellinghoff, then chairman of FERC, said that after he heard about the scope of the attack, he flew to California, bringing with him experts from the U.S. Navy's Dahlgren Surface Warfare Center in Virginia, which trains Navy SEALs. After walking the site with PG&E officials and FBI agents, Mr. Wellinghoff said, the military experts told him it looked like a professional job.

In addition to fingerprint-free shell casings, they pointed out small piles of rocks, which they said could have been left by an advance scout to tell the attackers where to get the best shots.

"They said it was a targeting package just like they would put together for an attack," Mr. Wellinghoff said.

Mr. Wellinghoff, now a law partner at Stoel Rives LLP in San Francisco, said he arranged a series of meetings in the following weeks to let other federal agencies, including the Department of Homeland Security, know what happened and to enlist their help. He held a closed-door meeting with utility executives in San Francisco in June and has distributed lists of things utilities should do to strengthen their defenses.

A spokesman for Homeland Security said it is up to utilities to protect the grid. The department's role in an emergency is to connect federal agencies and local police and facilitate information sharing, the spokesman said.

As word of the attack spread through the utility industry, some companies moved swiftly to review their security efforts. "We're looking at things differently now," said Michelle Campanella, an FBI veteran who is director of security for Consolidated EdisonInc.New York. For example, she said, Con Ed changed the angles of some of its 1,200 security cameras "so we don't have any blind spots."

Some of the legislators Mr. Wellinghoff briefed are calling for action. Rep. Henry Waxman (D., Calif.) mentioned the incident at a FERC oversight hearing in December, saying he was concerned that no one in government can order utilities to improve grid protections or to take charge in an emergency.

As for Mr. Wellinghoff, he said he has made something of a hobby of visiting big substations to look over defenses and see whether he is questioned by security details or local police. He said he typically finds easy access to fence lines that are often close to important equipment.

"What keeps me awake at night is a physical attack that could take down the grid," he said. "This is a huge problem."

—Tom McGinty contributed to this article.

Write to Rebecca Smith at rebecca.smith@wsj.com



 

Nuclear giants urge market changes to thwart closures



UTILITIES:

Nuclear giants urge market changes to thwart closures

Hannah Northey, E&E reporter

Greenwire: Thursday, February 6, 2014

The largest nuclear operators yesterday reiterated their calls for market changes to prevent a spate of reactor closures in markets that they say are becoming too reliant on subsidized renewables and cheap gas amid premature plant retirements.
Top executives from Entergy Corp. and Exelon Corp. -- the United States' biggest nuclear operators in competitive markets -- warned at a Platts energy conference in Washington, D.C., that electricity markets are rewarding the lowest-cost, near-term energy sources, namely cheap gas and subsidized wind.
Being overlooked are merchant nuclear power plants that provide carbon-free base-load power, they said.
"Regulators, policymakers really don't understand the consequences of some of their focus, which are well-intended; they want to do the right thing, move to renewable resources, reduce carbon output," said William Mohl, president of Entergy Wholesale Commodities, which operates about 5,000 megawatts of merchant nuclear power. "[But] we're really headed off a cliff if we don't see some changes in overall market design."
Nuclear operators say they're particularly concerned about older, single reactors throughout the Northeast that are struggling amid cheap natural gas; high operating costs; new regulatory expenses following the 2011 Fukushima Daiichi disaster in Japan; competition from subsidized generation -- wind and solar; and years of profits wiped away from the recession.
So the price of electricity in the NE market has been skyrocketing in the last three years because the system has sabotaged new natural gas pipelines. How come these NE nuke can't make big money on the most expensive electricity in the nation?
One issue is longer-term capacity markets. Grid operators in New England yesterday said the retirement of several power plants in the region is reducing power supplies and driving up prices. ISO New England, in results for its 2017-18 "capacity market" auctions -- markets designed to encourage the retention and construction of new power-generating facilities and ensure a reliable grid in coming years -- said it secured a commitment of 33,700 MW, down from the required 33,855 MW of capacity.
Other factors are playing out in the day-to-day energy markets. Mohl said nuclear plants are competing with wind and solar using production and investment tax credits, which he said created unfair footing for Entergy's 5,000 MW of merchant nuclear power. He also pointed to utilities adding generation -- usually cheap, combined-cycle gas-fired plants -- through certain contracts that work to push down wholesale prices.
Clean energy groups have repeatedly accused the nuclear industry of making wind and solar a "scapegoat" for their financial woes, and have said the real issue is the need for more transmission as the cost of renewables drops (Greenwire, June 12, 2013). Dave Hamilton, director of clean energy for the Sierra Club, said the markets are changing and nuclear operators, also highly subsidized, cannot "turn back the clock." "They're fighting the markets ... trying to make a bad bet a good bet," Hamilton said.
The trends have brought uncertainty to the power markets, triggering about 3,000 MW of announced capacity retirements in the Northeast -- including Entergy's Vermont Yankee nuclear plant and the Brayton Point coal plant in Massachusetts -- because there was "too much uncertainty" in the markets, Mohl said. Entergy is slated to close Vermont Yankee, about 5 miles south of Brattleboro, Vt., in December, and it will be decommissioned in 2015, Mohl said.
Basically the NEISO OK these shutdowns recently..why the abrupt change in position.
"Frankly, what we're dealing with right now in some of these markets is they are insufficient to provide sustainability for investors -- and that's where you end up with a situation like Vermont Yankee," Mohl said. "And obviously, there are other units out there that are critical.
Yea, like Pilgrim with a horrendous operations and reliability issue.
"Our discussions with the [grid operators], our discussions with [the Federal Energy Regulatory Commission] is this is not sustainable," he added. "What you hear a lot of regulators say, or a lot of politicians may say, is that driving wholesale prices down is a good thing for consumers, when in reality it's going to turn out to be a very bad thing for consumers."
The nuclear and utility sectors are also reorganizing internally. Entergy and Exelon have met with the Nuclear Energy Institute, the Edison Electric Institute and the Electric Power Supply Association to discuss possible market reforms or raising awareness about the issues, Brown said.
"We're all coming together, racking our brains, saying what's out there, what can we do, whether it's market reform or raising awareness of the value of nuclear?" said David Brown, Exelon's vice president of federal affairs. "The frustrating thing is there's no silver bullet; it's going to be an all-arrows-in-the-quiver response."
You got to see these things in a beyong a global warming and or inviromentalism lens. What they are aiming at with the "all-arrows-in-the-quiver response", is for the highest priced electricity source to set the price for everyone else. In any other times, you be calling this massive collusion in the electrcity sector to inflate the price of electrcity to all of us. They all our manufacting a crisis, or much worst, they are taking advantage of a crisis...so as to boost profits for everyone. This is so anti competitive and damaging to our whole economy! 
This is how the 1%ers screw the rest of us! 
Looking ahead
Mohl said he's been encouraged by steps ISO New England, which is not allowed to favor any fuel over another, has taken to address the issue.
ISO New England last week proposed changes that would impose a "pay for performance" program, or reward units that overperform while reducing capacity payments for resources that fail to perform adequately. The program, the grid operator said, is designed to clarify and strengthen the definition of capacity and improve incentives to achieve better performance of power plants when needed


Yea, but how do you explain the terrible reliability issues with say Palisades, Pilgrim and Arkansas Nuclear one. These guys are terrible unreliable. The industry and Entergy waste hundreds of million dollars in ineffective maintenance…shutdown and do-overs of a lot a work. Shouldn't these guys be punished?
The proposed changes -- not directed at a specific fuel type -- are necessary to address a growing dependence on gas that has left the region "extremely vulnerable" to supply interruptions, and an uptick in outage rates and other problems including inadequate oil inventory for some plants and insufficient staffing, ISO New England said.
But Mohl said the proposal for market changes is too complicated -- and more nuclear reactors could close before any changes take place.
"If you're an investor in these markets trying to run these plants, you need more certainty than that in terms to your ability to make additional capital," he said.
Just how many market rule changes -- or nuclear plant closures -- could materialize in coming months and years remains unclear.
Brown said Exelon is eyeing shaky finances at five of its merchant nuclear plants -- including Clinton, Quad Cities and other units not made public -- where losses have wiped out revenues at the company's other 19 nuclear facilities. Brown said those decisions will be based on movement with gas markets and what Congress decides to do with the production tax credits.
Mohl said Entergy has not decided to close any other unit beyond Vermont Yankee.
Nuclear industry leaders yesterday pushed the point -- one backed by the Obama administration -- that nuclear power could play a critical role in reducing the country's carbon emissions.
Mohl said markets need to reward diversity and include nuclear power's base-load, carbon-free attributes. Under one aggressive and hypothetical scenario, Mohl said scrapping 11 gigawatts of nuclear power in New England could trigger a 40 percent rise in carbon emissions.
He noted that countries like Germany that are phasing out nuclear power and pushing renewables are now seeing customer rates and carbon emissions increase as more oil- and coal-fired power is added to the grid.
"You've really got to be careful what you ask for, and you think about your state policies, your federal policies and your overall market design," he said.

Thursday, February 06, 2014

Exelon Threat: We will New England You!

Personnally I think this global warming, coal and nuclear drama think is nothing but a carnard. These utilities are using competition or weaknesses of the energy as tool fo them to control the price of electricity. You piss me of enought, We will New England you...we will start yanking off the line power plants and throwing sand in the gears of natural gas piping capity.

By Julie WernauTribune staff reporter

12:06 p.m. CST, February 6, 2014
Chicago-based Exelon Corp. said Thursday on a conference call following its quarterly earnings results that it will shut down nuclear plants to save money if it doesn't see a path to steady profits this year.
The company’s large fleet of nuclear plants have struggled to remain profitable as they attempt to compete with subsidized renewable generation and stubbornly low natural gas prices, which have driven down the price Exelon receives for power.
Exelon owns 10 nuclear power plants, six of which are in Illinois. Analysts have signaled that if power prices don’t recover its Clinton and Quad Cities generating stations are among the potential closures.
In the meantime, the company said, it is looking for ways to drive up earnings. Exelon said it wants the operator of the electric grid to reward steady so-called baseload power generators like Exelon over that of wind and solar generators whose power is intermittent. At the same time, the company said it continues to lobby for energy policies that would end the subsidization of renewables and help drive more closures at coal-fired power plants.
Exelon continues to believe that 52 gigawatts of coal plants will retire in the power markets it sells into before 2016, and has said investors who hold onto the stock will be rewarded when that market tightening drives up power prices for Exelon.
Profit at Chicago-based Exelon Corp. rose 31 percent in the fourth quarter to $495 million, or 58 cents per share from $378 million or 44 cents per share in the fourth quarter of 2012.
The company said it continues to be pummeled by lower power prices but that those losses were offset by higher capacity prices (a kind of reservation fee for power paid to Exelon) and higher revenue from its three utilities, including Chicago-based Commonwealth Edison Co. This year’s fourth quarter earnings also saw a bump over last year’s fourth quarter, which was hurt by Superstorm Sandy.
The nation's largest owner of nuclear plants had sales of $6.18 billion, a slight decrease from $6.25 billion in the same quarter last year.
For the full year, Exelon's revenue was up at $24.9 billion versus $23.5 billion in 2013 and net income grew to $1.72 billion in 2013 from $1.16 billion in 2012 or $2 per share versus $1.42 per share.